{
 "publisher": "DroneLedger",
 "site": "https://droneincidents.com",
 "generated": "2026-10-15T14:21:00+00:00",
 "release": "20261015T142100814644-deeb99",
 "license": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "DroneLedger (droneincidents.com)",
  "excludes": "Quoted source passages and linked articles remain the copyright of their publishers; they are included as short quotations for verification. Linked media and satellite images remain the rights holders' property; no image or video licence is granted by this dataset. Fonts (SIL OFL) and map data (Natural Earth, public domain) keep their own terms. City and region names in automatically published dossiers are checked against GeoNames (geonames.org, CC BY 4.0). Drone drawings and animations are schematic illustrations of a type, not evidence about any incident."
 },
 "assessmentNote": "DroneLedger assessment, not a finding. Editorial likelihood bands, not calibrated statistical confidence intervals. Unknown has no numeric probability. Outcomes are attributed reports; no totals or inference of intent from a hit.",
 "assessmentScale": {
  "version": "di-estimative-v1",
  "levels": {
   "almost_certain": {
    "low": 95,
    "high": 99
   },
   "very_likely": {
    "low": 80,
    "high": 95
   },
   "likely": {
    "low": 55,
    "high": 80
   },
   "roughly_even_chance": {
    "low": 45,
    "high": 55
   },
   "unlikely": {
    "low": 20,
    "high": 45
   },
   "very_unlikely": {
    "low": 5,
    "high": 20
   },
   "almost_no_chance": {
    "low": 1,
    "high": 5
   },
   "unknown": {
    "low": null,
    "high": null
   }
  }
 },
 "evidenceNote": "Each dossier separates three claims: drone presence, impact and attribution, each with its own evidence state and supporting sources. 'reported' means a source describes the claim without sufficient identification evidence; claims by parties to a conflict are never 'confirmed' on their own. Counts reflect dossiers in this curated archive, not all incidents worldwide. windowStart/windowEnd are reporting-window calendar bounds, not individual event days; legacy date remains the compatibility/sorting date for such records.",
 "locationNote": "lat/lon are the dossier's own approximate coordinates (see locationPrecision) and are empty when the incident location is unknown. referencePoint {lat, lon, level, name} is a display reference only: a fixed point in the named city (GeoNames), region (its administrative seat), sea or country (Natural Earth label point), derived at build time. It is not a geolocation, not an estimate of the incident location and may change when the dossier's place becomes more precise: reference point; incident location unknown.",
 "detailsNote": "media, operationalEffects, followUp and archiveEntity are editorial, source-indexed additions. Media is publisher-link only, has its own evidence status and never establishes drone presence or attribution. Debunked original-media links are removed; archived revisions omit media references. archivePattern is computed from mapped published event records at generated time, not a worldwide incident count. Null asOf means not established; publication time is not substituted.",
 "dataset": {
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "note": "Citable weekly snapshot (CSV + JSON) archived on Zenodo; this DOI always resolves to the latest version."
 },
 "howToCite": "Cite the dossier URL and revision, e.g. DroneLedger, “Wine Trader hit off Romania; president says drones struck the ship”, dossier wine-trader-fire-off-romania-2026-10-15, revision 3, updated 2026-10-15. https://droneincidents.com/incident/wine-trader-fire-off-romania-2026-10-15/",
 "incident": {
  "id": "yara-j-fire-off-romania-2026-10-14",
  "title": "Yara J hit off Romania; president says drones struck the ship",
  "place": "Black Sea, off Romania",
  "country": "Romania",
  "countryCode": "RO",
  "date": "2026-10-14",
  "dateKind": "event",
  "scope": "single",
  "category": "maritime",
  "droneStatus": "reported",
  "impactStatus": "reported",
  "attributionStatus": "none",
  "lat": 45.0,
  "lon": 30.0,
  "locationPrecision": "region",
  "summary": "The Comoros-flagged Yara J reported a fire in Romanian territorial waters near Sulina on the evening of 14 October 2026. The next day Romanian President Nicușor Dan said aerial drones had hit it and the Wine Trader. The defence minister had said earlier that radar did not show a drone approaching the ship.",
  "impact": "Romanian Coast Guard statements relayed by both outlets say the crew extinguished the fire and everyone aboard was safe.",
  "evidence": "Romania's president, whose country is not a party to the war, said on 15 October that two aerial drones hit the two ships near Sulina, as reported by Spotmedia; he gave no technical details. This conflicts with the defence minister's earlier statement, carried by Digi24, that radar had not shown a drone approaching the ship. Info Sud-Est had cited unnamed sources for a possible drone strike.",
  "unknown": "Who launched the drones, how the conflicting official statements are reconciled and the exact strike time are not established. The minister gives a radio alert at 20:23 EEST (UTC+03); ARSVOM gives its rescue request at 20:25. The map marker is a sea centroid, not the ship's position.",
  "attribution": "Not established. The president declined to say whether the attack was deliberate or whether Russia was behind it; a shipping-union assertion of an intentional attack is not an official or technical finding.",
  "sources": [
   {
    "label": "Info Sud-Est: Yara J fire and possible drone strike",
    "url": "https://www.info-sud-est.ro/incendiu-pe-o-nava-langa-sulina-tot-echipajul-este-in-siguranta-a-intervenit-agentia-de-salvare-a-vietilor-omenesti-pe-mare/",
    "published": "2026-10-14",
    "family": "info-sud-est-reporting",
    "publishedAt": "2026-10-14T19:20:28+00:00"
   },
   {
    "label": "Digi24: rescue account and defence minister interview",
    "url": "https://www.digi24.ro/stiri/actualitate/o-nava-sub-pavilion-strain-a-fost-lovita-in-zona-sulina-arsvom-desfasoara-o-misiune-de-salvare-3992805",
    "published": "2026-10-14",
    "family": "digi24-reporting",
    "publishedAt": "2026-10-14T22:28:16+03:00"
   },
   {
    "label": "Spotmedia: President Nicușor Dan says aerial drones hit the two ships near Sulina",
    "url": "https://spotmedia.ro/stiri/eveniment/de-ce-n-a-avut-romania-nicio-reactie-oficiala-dupa-atacurile-din-marea-neagra-nicusor-dan-au-trecut-relativ-putine-ore",
    "published": "2026-10-15",
    "family": "romanian-presidency",
    "publishedAt": "2026-10-15T10:36:37+00:00"
   }
  ],
  "timeline": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-14",
    "text": "ARSVOM records its rescue request at 20:25 EEST (17:25 UTC); this is an assistance time, not a verified strike time.",
    "source": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "text": "Speaking in Brussels, President Nicușor Dan said two aerial drones had hit the two ships near Sulina.",
    "source": 2
   }
  ],
  "droneStatusSources": [
   2
  ],
  "impactStatusSources": [
   0,
   1
  ],
  "attributionSources": [],
  "droneTypes": [],
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "yara-possible",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "Info Sud-Est reports a possible drone hit, citing unnamed sources.",
    "quote": "Nava ar fi fost lovită de o dronă",
    "claimant": "Info Sud-Est sources",
    "originId": "ise-yara-20261014-2240",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "context",
    "note": "Reported account; no independent technical finding of weapon or operator.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-15",
    "quoteTranslation": {
     "en": "The ship was reportedly hit by a drone."
    }
   },
   {
    "id": "yara-fire-out",
    "axis": "impact",
    "statement": "The Coast Guard relays that the fire was extinguished.",
    "quote": "incendiul de la bordul navei a fost stins",
    "claimant": "Romanian Coast Guard",
    "originId": "ro-coastguard-yara-20261014",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Reported account; no independent technical finding of weapon or operator.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-15",
    "quoteTranslation": {
     "en": "The fire on board the ship has been extinguished."
    }
   },
   {
    "id": "yara-president-drones",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "Spotmedia reports the president saying the two ships attacked in Romanian territorial waters were hit by aerial drones.",
    "quote": "cele două nave atacate în apele teritoriale românești au fost lovite de drone aeriene",
    "claimant": "President Nicușor Dan",
    "originId": "ro-president-20261015-brussels",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Official statement without technical details; conflicts with the defence minister's earlier radar statement.",
    "sourceIndex": 2,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-15",
    "quoteTranslation": {
     "en": "The two ships attacked in Romanian territorial waters were hit by aerial drones."
    }
   }
  ],
  "review": "editor",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-15",
  "autoCheckedAt": null,
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-15",
  "revision": 3,
  "series": [
   "black-sea-shipping-2026-10"
  ],
  "windowStart": null,
  "windowEnd": null,
  "windowBasis": null,
  "assessment": null,
  "outcome": [],
  "assessment_scale_version": null,
  "assessment_operator_subject": null,
  "assessment_operator_level": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_low": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_high": null,
  "assessment_target_subject": null,
  "assessment_target_level": null,
  "assessment_target_range_low": null,
  "assessment_target_range_high": null,
  "media": [],
  "operationalEffects": [],
  "followUp": [],
  "archiveEntity": null,
  "namedLocation": null,
  "archivePattern": null,
  "impactReports": [],
  "corroboration": "curated",
  "interceptionReported": {
   "evidenceState": "reported",
   "note": "Official aggregate claims, not independently verified kills. Parts are included only when explicitly sourced and sum to the reported total. Catalogue countermeasures are not incident evidence.",
   "counts": []
  },
  "referencePoint": null,
  "labels": {
   "category": "Maritime attack",
   "droneStatus": "Reported",
   "impactStatus": "Reported",
   "attributionStatus": "Not established"
  },
  "url": "https://droneincidents.com/incident/yara-j-fire-off-romania-2026-10-14/",
  "citation": "DroneLedger, “Yara J hit off Romania; president says drones struck the ship”, dossier yara-j-fire-off-romania-2026-10-14, revision 3, updated 2026-10-15. https://droneincidents.com/incident/yara-j-fire-off-romania-2026-10-14/",
  "history": [
   {
    "revision": 3,
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "at": "2026-10-15T13:23:49.748+00:00",
    "note": "Map reference moved to the sea area off Sulina and the Danube delta, where the sources place the ship; it had been set at the centre of the Black Sea. It is a sea-area reference, not the ship's position. Added to the series Black Sea shipping incidents, October 2026."
   },
   {
    "revision": 2,
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "at": "2026-10-15T13:03:12.842+00:00",
    "note": "Romania's president said on 15 October that the two ships attacked near Sulina were hit by aerial drones; drone involvement is now reported by an official source. No technical finding has been published."
   },
   {
    "revision": 1,
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "at": "2026-10-15T11:34:06.248+00:00",
    "note": "Curated dossier created after checking the cited sources line by line."
   }
  ]
 }
}