{
 "publisher": "DroneLedger",
 "site": "https://droneincidents.com",
 "generated": "2026-10-18T16:47:01+00:00",
 "release": "20261018T164701836542-fa0dd5",
 "license": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "DroneLedger (droneincidents.com)",
  "excludes": "Quoted source passages and linked articles remain the copyright of their publishers; they are included as short quotations for verification. Linked media and satellite images remain the rights holders' property; no image or video licence is granted by this dataset. Fonts (SIL OFL) and map data (Natural Earth, public domain) keep their own terms. City and region names in automatically published dossiers are checked against GeoNames (geonames.org, CC BY 4.0). Drone drawings and animations are schematic illustrations of a type, not evidence about any incident."
 },
 "assessmentNote": "DroneLedger assessment, not a finding. Editorial likelihood bands, not calibrated statistical confidence intervals. Unknown has no numeric probability. Outcomes are attributed reports; no totals or inference of intent from a hit.",
 "assessmentScale": {
  "version": "di-estimative-v1",
  "levels": {
   "almost_certain": {
    "low": 95,
    "high": 99
   },
   "very_likely": {
    "low": 80,
    "high": 95
   },
   "likely": {
    "low": 55,
    "high": 80
   },
   "roughly_even_chance": {
    "low": 45,
    "high": 55
   },
   "unlikely": {
    "low": 20,
    "high": 45
   },
   "very_unlikely": {
    "low": 5,
    "high": 20
   },
   "almost_no_chance": {
    "low": 1,
    "high": 5
   },
   "unknown": {
    "low": null,
    "high": null
   }
  }
 },
 "evidenceNote": "Each dossier separates three claims: drone presence, impact and attribution, each with its own evidence state and supporting sources. 'reported' means a source describes the claim without sufficient identification evidence; claims by parties to a conflict are never 'confirmed' on their own. Counts reflect dossiers in this curated archive, not all incidents worldwide. windowStart/windowEnd are reporting-window calendar bounds, not individual event days; legacy date remains the compatibility/sorting date for such records.",
 "locationNote": "lat/lon are the dossier's own approximate coordinates (see locationPrecision) and are empty when the incident location is unknown. referencePoint {lat, lon, level, name} is a display reference only: a fixed point in the named city (GeoNames), region (its administrative seat), sea or country (Natural Earth label point), derived at build time. It is not a geolocation, not an estimate of the incident location and may change when the dossier's place becomes more precise: reference point; incident location unknown.",
 "detailsNote": "media, operationalEffects, followUp and archiveEntity are editorial, source-indexed additions. Media is publisher-link only, has its own evidence status and never establishes drone presence or attribution. Debunked original-media links are removed; archived revisions omit media references. archivePattern is computed from mapped published event records at generated time, not a worldwide incident count. Null asOf means not established; publication time is not substituted.",
 "dataset": {
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "note": "Citable weekly snapshot (CSV + JSON) archived on Zenodo; this DOI always resolves to the latest version."
 },
 "howToCite": "Cite the dossier URL and revision, e.g. DroneLedger, “Lithuanian authorities report possible drone debris in Pasvalys district”, dossier pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18, revision 1, updated 2026-10-18. https://droneincidents.com/incident/pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18/",
 "incident": {
  "id": "pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18",
  "title": "Lithuanian authorities report possible drone debris in Pasvalys district",
  "place": "Pasvalys district",
  "country": "Lithuania",
  "countryCode": "LT",
  "date": "2026-10-18",
  "dateKind": "event",
  "scope": "single",
  "category": "sightings",
  "droneStatus": "reported",
  "impactStatus": "unknown",
  "attributionStatus": "none",
  "lat": 56.05,
  "lon": 24.4,
  "locationPrecision": "region",
  "summary": "Lithuanian authorities reported possible drone debris in Pasvalys district on 18 October 2026 after morning air alerts in Panevėžys and Šiauliai counties. Identification remained preliminary.",
  "impact": "Air alerts were issued and later cancelled. Authorities reported a debris investigation; damage, casualties and an explosion caused by a drone are not established here.",
  "evidence": "ELTA, carried by Respublika, relays the National Crisis Management Centre's preliminary debris report and the military's account of an unidentified object. LRT reports the morning alerts and their cancellation; NOS separately reports the alerts. These editorial outlets share official origins and do not independently identify the debris as a drone.",
  "unknown": "The object's type, operator, origin and connection to the reported debris remain unresolved. Earlier LRT reporting said a crash was not confirmed; later ELTA reporting described preliminary small fragments. The district-level marker is an approximate geographic reference, not a debris or flight position.",
  "attribution": "No operator established. No causal connection with the separate Polish investigation is asserted.",
  "sources": [
   {
    "label": "ELTA via Respublika: preliminary possible drone debris report",
    "url": "https://www.respublika.lt/lt/naujienos/lietuva/kitos-lietuvos-zinios/nkvc-pranesta-apie-galima-sprogima-pasvalio-rajone/",
    "published": "2026-10-18",
    "family": "lithuanian-nkvc-military"
   },
   {
    "label": "LRT: morning air alerts and cancellation",
    "url": "https://archyvai.lrt.lt/naujienos/lietuvoje/2/3071190/nkvc-tikslina-pranesimai-apie-galimo-drono-nukritima-is-pasvalio-rajono",
    "published": "2026-10-18",
    "family": "lrt"
   },
   {
    "label": "NOS: possible Polish violation and Lithuanian air alert",
    "url": "https://nos.nl/artikel/2635442-polen-onderzoekt-mogelijke-schending-luchtruim-luchtalarm-gaat-af-in-litouwen",
    "published": "2026-10-18",
    "family": "nos"
   }
  ],
  "timeline": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "text": "Morning air alerts in Panevėžys and Šiauliai counties were later cancelled.",
    "source": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "text": "ELTA relayed a preliminary crisis-centre report of possible drone fragments in Pasvalys district; identification was unresolved.",
    "source": 0
   }
  ],
  "droneStatusSources": [
   0
  ],
  "impactStatusSources": [],
  "attributionSources": [],
  "droneTypes": [],
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "possible-debris",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "The crisis centre reports preliminary possible drone fragments; drone identification remains provisional.",
    "quote": "Pasvalio rajone rastos galimai drono smulkios nuolaužos",
    "claimant": "lithuanian-nkvc",
    "originId": "nkvc-20261018",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Preliminary official report relayed by ELTA; not independent technical confirmation.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-18",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   }
  ],
  "review": "editor",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-18",
  "autoCheckedAt": null,
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-18",
  "revision": 1,
  "series": [],
  "windowStart": null,
  "windowEnd": null,
  "windowBasis": null,
  "assessment": null,
  "outcome": [],
  "assessment_scale_version": null,
  "assessment_operator_subject": null,
  "assessment_operator_level": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_low": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_high": null,
  "assessment_target_subject": null,
  "assessment_target_level": null,
  "assessment_target_range_low": null,
  "assessment_target_range_high": null,
  "assessment_droneType_subject": null,
  "assessment_droneType_level": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_low": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_high": null,
  "media": [],
  "operationalEffects": [],
  "followUp": [],
  "archiveEntity": null,
  "namedLocation": null,
  "publisherMedia": [],
  "reportTiming": null,
  "archivePattern": null,
  "impactReports": [],
  "corroboration": "curated",
  "interceptionReported": {
   "evidenceState": "reported",
   "note": "Official aggregate claims, not independently verified kills. Parts are included only when explicitly sourced and sum to the reported total. Catalogue countermeasures are not incident evidence.",
   "counts": []
  },
  "referencePoint": null,
  "labels": {
   "category": "Reported sightings",
   "droneStatus": "Reported",
   "impactStatus": "Not established",
   "attributionStatus": "Not established"
  },
  "url": "https://droneincidents.com/incident/pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18/",
  "citation": "DroneLedger, “Lithuanian authorities report possible drone debris in Pasvalys district”, dossier pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18, revision 1, updated 2026-10-18. https://droneincidents.com/incident/pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18/",
  "history": [
   {
    "revision": 1,
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "at": "2026-10-18T13:33:11.453+00:00",
    "note": "Curated dossier created after checking the cited sources line by line."
   }
  ]
 }
}