{
 "publisher": "DroneLedger",
 "site": "https://droneincidents.com",
 "generated": "2026-10-18T17:47:01+00:00",
 "release": "20261018T174702068937-881aa1",
 "license": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "DroneLedger (droneincidents.com)",
  "excludes": "Quoted source passages and linked articles remain the copyright of their publishers; they are included as short quotations for verification. Linked media and satellite images remain the rights holders' property; no image or video licence is granted by this dataset. Fonts (SIL OFL) and map data (Natural Earth, public domain) keep their own terms. City and region names in automatically published dossiers are checked against GeoNames (geonames.org, CC BY 4.0). Drone drawings and animations are schematic illustrations of a type, not evidence about any incident."
 },
 "assessmentNote": "DroneLedger assessment, not a finding. Editorial likelihood bands, not calibrated statistical confidence intervals. Unknown has no numeric probability. Outcomes are attributed reports; no totals or inference of intent from a hit.",
 "assessmentScale": {
  "version": "di-estimative-v1",
  "levels": {
   "almost_certain": {
    "low": 95,
    "high": 99
   },
   "very_likely": {
    "low": 80,
    "high": 95
   },
   "likely": {
    "low": 55,
    "high": 80
   },
   "roughly_even_chance": {
    "low": 45,
    "high": 55
   },
   "unlikely": {
    "low": 20,
    "high": 45
   },
   "very_unlikely": {
    "low": 5,
    "high": 20
   },
   "almost_no_chance": {
    "low": 1,
    "high": 5
   },
   "unknown": {
    "low": null,
    "high": null
   }
  }
 },
 "evidenceNote": "Each dossier separates three claims: drone presence, impact and attribution, each with its own evidence state and supporting sources. 'reported' means a source describes the claim without sufficient identification evidence; claims by parties to a conflict are never 'confirmed' on their own. Counts reflect dossiers in this curated archive, not all incidents worldwide. windowStart/windowEnd are reporting-window calendar bounds, not individual event days; legacy date remains the compatibility/sorting date for such records.",
 "locationNote": "lat/lon are the dossier's own approximate coordinates (see locationPrecision) and are empty when the incident location is unknown. referencePoint {lat, lon, level, name} is a display reference only: a fixed point in the named city (GeoNames), region (its administrative seat), sea or country (Natural Earth label point), derived at build time. It is not a geolocation, not an estimate of the incident location and may change when the dossier's place becomes more precise: reference point; incident location unknown.",
 "detailsNote": "media, operationalEffects, followUp and archiveEntity are editorial, source-indexed additions. Media is publisher-link only, has its own evidence status and never establishes drone presence or attribution. Debunked original-media links are removed; archived revisions omit media references. archivePattern is computed from mapped published event records at generated time, not a worldwide incident count. Null asOf means not established; publication time is not substituted.",
 "dataset": {
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "note": "Citable weekly snapshot (CSV + JSON) archived on Zenodo; this DOI always resolves to the latest version."
 },
 "howToCite": "Cite the dossier URL and revision, e.g. DroneLedger, “Lithuanian authorities report possible drone debris in Pasvalys district”, dossier pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18, revision 1, updated 2026-10-18. https://droneincidents.com/incident/pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18/",
 "incident": {
  "id": "lublin-unidentified-object-investigation-2026-10-18",
  "title": "Investigation into an unidentified flying object near Lublin",
  "place": "South of Lublin",
  "country": "Poland",
  "countryCode": "PL",
  "date": "2026-10-18",
  "dateKind": "event",
  "scope": "single",
  "category": "sightings",
  "droneStatus": "inconclusive",
  "impactStatus": "unknown",
  "attributionStatus": "none",
  "lat": 51.1,
  "lon": 22.6,
  "locationPrecision": "region",
  "summary": "Poland's Operational Command investigated a possible airspace violation south of Lublin during the night into 18 October 2026. A violation and drone identity remained unconfirmed; Radio Lublin reported that no object had been found at its 14:50 update.",
  "impact": "Military and police personnel searched the area. No object had been recovered at the time of the PAP report or Radio Lublin's 14:50 update. No crash, explosion or damage is established.",
  "evidence": "Radio Lublin provides its own police and military spokesperson interviews and on-scene reporting, including a 14:50 military search update. PAP, carried by Niedziela, independently reports police and military spokesperson statements. Both relay the same Operational Command assessment of a possible airspace violation; neither establishes drone presence. Multiple editorial channels are not independent technical confirmation of an object.",
  "unknown": "Whether a physical object crossed the border, whether an airspace violation occurred, and whether any object was a drone remain unconfirmed. Radar anomalies and meteorological explanations remain under consideration. Counts of public reports changed between updates and are not adopted. The coarse reference marker denotes the broad area south of Lublin, not an impact or search position.",
  "attribution": "No operator or country of origin established. Speculative origins and a connection to Lithuania's separate report are not established.",
  "sources": [
   {
    "label": "Radio Lublin: military and police interviews; ongoing search update",
    "url": "https://radio.lublin.pl/2026/10/niezidentyfikowany-obiekt-na-poludnie-od-lublina-sprawe-bada-wojsko/",
    "published": "2026-10-18",
    "family": "radio-lublin"
   },
   {
    "label": "PAP via Niedziela: police search report and unconfirmed airspace assessment",
    "url": "https://www.lublin.niedziela.pl/artykul/129017/Czy-cos-wlecialo-do-Polski-Wojsko-przeszukuje-teren-w-Lublinie",
    "published": "2026-10-18",
    "family": "pap"
   }
  ],
  "timeline": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "text": "Military and police investigated a radar signal and public reports from the preceding night. The military did not confirm an airspace violation.",
    "source": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "text": "At its 14:50 update, Radio Lublin reported that the military search continued and no object had been found.",
    "source": 0
   }
  ],
  "droneStatusSources": [
   0,
   1
  ],
  "impactStatusSources": [],
  "attributionSources": [],
  "droneTypes": [],
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "violation-unconfirmed",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "The Operational Command had not confirmed an airspace violation.",
    "quote": "na obecnym etapie nie potwierdzono naruszenia polskiej przestrzeni powietrznej",
    "claimant": "polish-operational-command",
    "originId": "dorsz-20261018",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Exact lower-case quotation in PAP's own main-body closing paragraph, outside the embedded post. No drone presence established.",
    "sourceIndex": 1,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-18",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   },
   {
    "id": "search-no-find",
    "axis": "impact",
    "statement": "Radio Lublin's 14:50 military search update said no object had been found.",
    "quote": "Żaden obiekt nie został odnaleziony",
    "claimant": "territorial-defence-spokesperson",
    "originId": "wot-radio-lublin-20261018-1450",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Exact main-body sentence introducing Radio Lublin's interview with the military spokesperson. Time-limited search result; not proof no object existed.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-18",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   }
  ],
  "review": "editor",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-16",
  "autoCheckedAt": null,
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-18",
  "revision": 1,
  "series": [],
  "windowStart": null,
  "windowEnd": null,
  "windowBasis": null,
  "assessment": null,
  "outcome": [],
  "assessment_scale_version": null,
  "assessment_operator_subject": null,
  "assessment_operator_level": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_low": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_high": null,
  "assessment_target_subject": null,
  "assessment_target_level": null,
  "assessment_target_range_low": null,
  "assessment_target_range_high": null,
  "assessment_droneType_subject": null,
  "assessment_droneType_level": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_low": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_high": null,
  "media": [],
  "operationalEffects": [],
  "followUp": [],
  "archiveEntity": null,
  "namedLocation": null,
  "publisherMedia": [],
  "reportTiming": null,
  "archivePattern": null,
  "impactReports": [],
  "corroboration": "curated",
  "interceptionReported": {
   "evidenceState": "reported",
   "note": "Official aggregate claims, not independently verified kills. Parts are included only when explicitly sourced and sum to the reported total. Catalogue countermeasures are not incident evidence.",
   "counts": []
  },
  "referencePoint": null,
  "labels": {
   "category": "Reported sightings",
   "droneStatus": "Inconclusive",
   "impactStatus": "Not established",
   "attributionStatus": "Not established"
  },
  "url": "https://droneincidents.com/incident/lublin-unidentified-object-investigation-2026-10-18/",
  "citation": "DroneLedger, “Investigation into an unidentified flying object near Lublin”, dossier lublin-unidentified-object-investigation-2026-10-18, revision 1, updated 2026-10-18. https://droneincidents.com/incident/lublin-unidentified-object-investigation-2026-10-18/",
  "history": [
   {
    "revision": 1,
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "at": "2026-10-18T15:27:12.528+00:00",
    "note": "Curated dossier created after checking the cited sources line by line."
   }
  ]
 }
}