{
 "publisher": "DroneLedger",
 "site": "https://droneincidents.com",
 "generated": "2026-10-18T16:47:01+00:00",
 "release": "20261018T164701836542-fa0dd5",
 "license": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "DroneLedger (droneincidents.com)",
  "excludes": "Quoted source passages and linked articles remain the copyright of their publishers; they are included as short quotations for verification. Linked media and satellite images remain the rights holders' property; no image or video licence is granted by this dataset. Fonts (SIL OFL) and map data (Natural Earth, public domain) keep their own terms. City and region names in automatically published dossiers are checked against GeoNames (geonames.org, CC BY 4.0). Drone drawings and animations are schematic illustrations of a type, not evidence about any incident."
 },
 "assessmentNote": "DroneLedger assessment, not a finding. Editorial likelihood bands, not calibrated statistical confidence intervals. Unknown has no numeric probability. Outcomes are attributed reports; no totals or inference of intent from a hit.",
 "assessmentScale": {
  "version": "di-estimative-v1",
  "levels": {
   "almost_certain": {
    "low": 95,
    "high": 99
   },
   "very_likely": {
    "low": 80,
    "high": 95
   },
   "likely": {
    "low": 55,
    "high": 80
   },
   "roughly_even_chance": {
    "low": 45,
    "high": 55
   },
   "unlikely": {
    "low": 20,
    "high": 45
   },
   "very_unlikely": {
    "low": 5,
    "high": 20
   },
   "almost_no_chance": {
    "low": 1,
    "high": 5
   },
   "unknown": {
    "low": null,
    "high": null
   }
  }
 },
 "evidenceNote": "Each dossier separates three claims: drone presence, impact and attribution, each with its own evidence state and supporting sources. 'reported' means a source describes the claim without sufficient identification evidence; claims by parties to a conflict are never 'confirmed' on their own. Counts reflect dossiers in this curated archive, not all incidents worldwide. windowStart/windowEnd are reporting-window calendar bounds, not individual event days; legacy date remains the compatibility/sorting date for such records.",
 "locationNote": "lat/lon are the dossier's own approximate coordinates (see locationPrecision) and are empty when the incident location is unknown. referencePoint {lat, lon, level, name} is a display reference only: a fixed point in the named city (GeoNames), region (its administrative seat), sea or country (Natural Earth label point), derived at build time. It is not a geolocation, not an estimate of the incident location and may change when the dossier's place becomes more precise: reference point; incident location unknown.",
 "detailsNote": "media, operationalEffects, followUp and archiveEntity are editorial, source-indexed additions. Media is publisher-link only, has its own evidence status and never establishes drone presence or attribution. Debunked original-media links are removed; archived revisions omit media references. archivePattern is computed from mapped published event records at generated time, not a worldwide incident count. Null asOf means not established; publication time is not substituted.",
 "dataset": {
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "note": "Citable weekly snapshot (CSV + JSON) archived on Zenodo; this DOI always resolves to the latest version."
 },
 "howToCite": "Cite the dossier URL and revision, e.g. DroneLedger, “Lithuanian authorities report possible drone debris in Pasvalys district”, dossier pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18, revision 1, updated 2026-10-18. https://droneincidents.com/incident/pasvalys-possible-drone-debris-2026-10-18/",
 "incident": {
  "id": "kursk-sugar-factory-reported-2026-10-17",
  "title": "Kursk governor reports drone strike at a sugar factory and one injury",
  "place": "Kursk region",
  "country": "Russia",
  "countryCode": "RU",
  "date": "2026-10-17",
  "dateKind": "statement",
  "scope": "single",
  "category": "conflict",
  "droneStatus": "reported",
  "impactStatus": "reported",
  "attributionStatus": "none",
  "lat": 51.7,
  "lon": 36.0,
  "locationPrecision": "region",
  "summary": "On 17 October 2026, the Kursk governor reported a drone strike on sugar-factory premises in the Kursk region. The report included one person injured and damage to an administrative building.",
  "impact": "The governor reported one person injured, treated with outpatient follow-up, and damage to the facade and glazing of an administrative building. These are claims by an official of a party to the conflict.",
  "evidence": "BFM article 621160 and Interfax 1123161 relay the same governor statement. Fontanka relays the regional operational headquarters citing that governor. Agreement between these publications is not independent confirmation of the strike or its effects.",
  "unknown": "The exact event date and time are not explicit in the main BFM or Interfax text. The dossier date is the 17 October reporting date, not an inferred 16 October event date. No independent observation or technical evidence establishes the drone, damage, operator or intent. The regional marker is an approximate geographic reference, not a factory or strike position.",
  "attribution": "The governor attributes the strike to Ukrainian forces; this has not been independently established. No operator assessment is made.",
  "sources": [
   {
    "label": "BFM: governor reports sugar-factory drone strike",
    "url": "https://www.bfm.ru/news/621160",
    "published": "2026-10-17",
    "family": "kursk-governor"
   },
   {
    "label": "Interfax: governor reports one injury at sugar-factory premises",
    "url": "https://www.interfax.ru/russia/1123161",
    "published": "2026-10-17",
    "family": "kursk-governor"
   },
   {
    "label": "Fontanka: regional headquarters relays governor statement",
    "url": "https://www.fontanka.ru/2026/10/17/76707473/",
    "published": "2026-10-17",
    "family": "kursk-governor"
   }
  ],
  "timeline": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "text": "BFM and Interfax published the governor's sugar-factory strike and injury report. This is a reporting date; an exact event date is not established by their main texts.",
    "source": 0
   }
  ],
  "droneStatusSources": [
   0,
   1,
   2
  ],
  "impactStatusSources": [
   0,
   1,
   2
  ],
  "attributionSources": [],
  "droneTypes": [],
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "reported-strike",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "An involved-party governor reports a drone strike on sugar-factory premises and one injury.",
    "quote": "В результате удара дрона по сахарному заводу в Курской области пострадал один человек",
    "claimant": "kursk-governor",
    "originId": "kursk-governor-sugar-factory-20261017",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "One official origin, no independent confirmation. Date is report date.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-18",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   },
   {
    "id": "reported-building-damage",
    "axis": "impact",
    "statement": "The governor reports facade and glazing damage to an administrative building.",
    "quote": "Поврежден фасад и остекление административного здания",
    "claimant": "kursk-governor",
    "originId": "kursk-governor-sugar-factory-20261017",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Involved-party official claim, not independently verified.",
    "sourceIndex": 1,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-18",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   }
  ],
  "review": "editor",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-18",
  "autoCheckedAt": null,
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-18",
  "revision": 1,
  "series": [],
  "windowStart": null,
  "windowEnd": null,
  "windowBasis": null,
  "assessment": null,
  "outcome": [],
  "assessment_scale_version": null,
  "assessment_operator_subject": null,
  "assessment_operator_level": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_low": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_high": null,
  "assessment_target_subject": null,
  "assessment_target_level": null,
  "assessment_target_range_low": null,
  "assessment_target_range_high": null,
  "assessment_droneType_subject": null,
  "assessment_droneType_level": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_low": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_high": null,
  "media": [],
  "operationalEffects": [],
  "followUp": [],
  "archiveEntity": null,
  "namedLocation": null,
  "publisherMedia": [],
  "reportTiming": null,
  "archivePattern": null,
  "impactReports": [],
  "corroboration": "curated",
  "interceptionReported": {
   "evidenceState": "reported",
   "note": "Official aggregate claims, not independently verified kills. Parts are included only when explicitly sourced and sum to the reported total. Catalogue countermeasures are not incident evidence.",
   "counts": []
  },
  "referencePoint": null,
  "labels": {
   "category": "Armed conflict",
   "droneStatus": "Reported",
   "impactStatus": "Reported",
   "attributionStatus": "Not established"
  },
  "url": "https://droneincidents.com/incident/kursk-sugar-factory-reported-2026-10-17/",
  "citation": "DroneLedger, “Kursk governor reports drone strike at a sugar factory and one injury”, dossier kursk-sugar-factory-reported-2026-10-17, revision 1, updated 2026-10-18. https://droneincidents.com/incident/kursk-sugar-factory-reported-2026-10-17/",
  "history": [
   {
    "revision": 1,
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "at": "2026-10-18T13:33:11.445+00:00",
    "note": "Curated dossier created after checking the cited sources line by line."
   }
  ]
 }
}
