{
 "publisher": "DroneLedger",
 "site": "https://droneincidents.com",
 "generated": "2026-10-16T02:26:41+00:00",
 "release": "20261016T022641844182-b347e0",
 "license": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "DroneLedger (droneincidents.com)",
  "excludes": "Quoted source passages and linked articles remain the copyright of their publishers; they are included as short quotations for verification. Linked media and satellite images remain the rights holders' property; no image or video licence is granted by this dataset. Fonts (SIL OFL) and map data (Natural Earth, public domain) keep their own terms. City and region names in automatically published dossiers are checked against GeoNames (geonames.org, CC BY 4.0). Drone drawings and animations are schematic illustrations of a type, not evidence about any incident."
 },
 "assessmentNote": "DroneLedger assessment, not a finding. Editorial likelihood bands, not calibrated statistical confidence intervals. Unknown has no numeric probability. Outcomes are attributed reports; no totals or inference of intent from a hit.",
 "assessmentScale": {
  "version": "di-estimative-v1",
  "levels": {
   "almost_certain": {
    "low": 95,
    "high": 99
   },
   "very_likely": {
    "low": 80,
    "high": 95
   },
   "likely": {
    "low": 55,
    "high": 80
   },
   "roughly_even_chance": {
    "low": 45,
    "high": 55
   },
   "unlikely": {
    "low": 20,
    "high": 45
   },
   "very_unlikely": {
    "low": 5,
    "high": 20
   },
   "almost_no_chance": {
    "low": 1,
    "high": 5
   },
   "unknown": {
    "low": null,
    "high": null
   }
  }
 },
 "evidenceNote": "Each dossier separates three claims: drone presence, impact and attribution, each with its own evidence state and supporting sources. 'reported' means a source describes the claim without sufficient identification evidence; claims by parties to a conflict are never 'confirmed' on their own. Counts reflect dossiers in this curated archive, not all incidents worldwide. windowStart/windowEnd are reporting-window calendar bounds, not individual event days; legacy date remains the compatibility/sorting date for such records.",
 "locationNote": "lat/lon are the dossier's own approximate coordinates (see locationPrecision) and are empty when the incident location is unknown. referencePoint {lat, lon, level, name} is a display reference only: a fixed point in the named city (GeoNames), region (its administrative seat), sea or country (Natural Earth label point), derived at build time. It is not a geolocation, not an estimate of the incident location and may change when the dossier's place becomes more precise: reference point; incident location unknown.",
 "detailsNote": "media, operationalEffects, followUp and archiveEntity are editorial, source-indexed additions. Media is publisher-link only, has its own evidence status and never establishes drone presence or attribution. Debunked original-media links are removed; archived revisions omit media references. archivePattern is computed from mapped published event records at generated time, not a worldwide incident count. Null asOf means not established; publication time is not substituted.",
 "dataset": {
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "note": "Citable weekly snapshot (CSV + JSON) archived on Zenodo; this DOI always resolves to the latest version."
 },
 "howToCite": "Cite the dossier URL and revision, e.g. DroneLedger, “Wine Trader hit off Romania; president says drones struck the ship”, dossier wine-trader-fire-off-romania-2026-10-15, revision 4, updated 2026-10-15. https://droneincidents.com/incident/wine-trader-fire-off-romania-2026-10-15/",
 "incident": {
  "id": "earle-drone-reports-2024-12",
  "title": "Naval Weapons Station Earle reports unidentified drone incursions",
  "place": "Colts Neck",
  "country": "United States",
  "countryCode": "US",
  "date": "2024-12-13",
  "dateKind": "statement",
  "scope": "wave",
  "category": "military",
  "droneStatus": "reported",
  "impactStatus": "unknown",
  "attributionStatus": "none",
  "lat": 40.29,
  "lon": -74.17,
  "locationPrecision": "region",
  "summary": "A statement on 13 December 2024 reported multiple instances of unidentified drones above Naval Weapons Station Earle. A Pentagon briefing the following day also included Earle among bases with visual sightings in December.",
  "impact": "No injury, physical damage or operational shutdown is established by the reviewed statements. The base said no direct threat had been identified at the time; that is not a finding that every reported object was harmless.",
  "evidence": "ABC obtained a statement from the base public-affairs office; DefenseScoop separately covered the subsequent Pentagon briefing. Both concern military observations and may share underlying base reports. The Pentagon described the sightings as visual, not published technical detections; presence stays reported.",
  "unknown": "The dossier date is the Navy statement date, not an invented incursion date. The base did not specify when each instance occurred or how many devices were involved. Broader New Jersey reports and claims by politicians are not automatically sightings at this installation. This facility-specific dossier belongs to the wider December reporting cluster already covered by the New Jersey dossier; it is not an additional independent regional wave. Operator, type and attribution unresolved.",
  "attribution": "No operator or responsible organisation established by the reviewed sources.",
  "sources": [
   {
    "label": "ABC News: direct Navy base statement",
    "url": "https://abcnews.com/US/multiple-drones-entered-airspace-new-jersey-naval-station/story?id=116763570",
    "published": "2024-12-13",
    "family": "abc-news"
   },
   {
    "label": "DefenseScoop: separate Pentagon background briefing",
    "url": "https://defensescoop.com/2024/12/14/new-jersey-drones-military-frustrated-picatinny-naval-weapons-station-earle/",
    "published": "2024-12-14",
    "family": "scoop-news-group"
   }
  ],
  "timeline": [
   {
    "date": "2024-12-13",
    "text": "A statement on 13 December 2024 reported multiple instances of unidentified drones above Naval Weapons Station Earle. A Pentagon briefing the following day also included Earle among bases with visual sightings in December.",
    "source": 0
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-12-14",
    "text": "The Pentagon briefing described visual sightings in December; no individual Earle observation dates or technical identification published here.",
    "source": 1
   }
  ],
  "droneStatusSources": [
   0,
   1
  ],
  "impactStatusSources": [],
  "attributionSources": [],
  "droneTypes": [],
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "navy-base-account",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "The base reports unidentified drones above the installation.",
    "quote": "multiple instances of unidentified drones entering the airspace above Naval Weapons Station Earle",
    "claimant": "Naval Weapons Station Earle",
    "originId": "earle-navy-statement-20241213",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Short literal passage read on the public source page; reported drone presence is not technical identification.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-16",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   },
   {
    "id": "pentagon-visual",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "The Pentagon described its base sightings as visual.",
    "quote": "They’re all visual",
    "claimant": "US Defense Department briefing",
    "originId": "pentagon-newjersey-20241214",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Short literal passage read on the public source page; reported drone presence is not technical identification.",
    "sourceIndex": 1,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-16",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   },
   {
    "id": "pentagon-month",
    "axis": "drone",
    "statement": "The Pentagon included Earle in its December sighting account.",
    "quote": "In December, we have had sightings over Picatinny and Naval Weapons Station Earle.",
    "claimant": "US Defense Department briefing",
    "originId": "pentagon-newjersey-20241214",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Short literal passage read on the public source page; reported drone presence is not technical identification.",
    "sourceIndex": 1,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-16",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   }
  ],
  "review": "editor",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-15",
  "autoCheckedAt": null,
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-16",
  "revision": 1,
  "series": [],
  "windowStart": null,
  "windowEnd": null,
  "windowBasis": null,
  "assessment": null,
  "outcome": [],
  "assessment_scale_version": null,
  "assessment_operator_subject": null,
  "assessment_operator_level": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_low": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_high": null,
  "assessment_target_subject": null,
  "assessment_target_level": null,
  "assessment_target_range_low": null,
  "assessment_target_range_high": null,
  "assessment_droneType_subject": null,
  "assessment_droneType_level": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_low": null,
  "assessment_droneType_range_high": null,
  "media": [],
  "operationalEffects": [],
  "followUp": [],
  "archiveEntity": {
   "key": "naval-weapons-station-earle",
   "kind": "infrastructure",
   "label": "Naval Weapons Station Earle",
   "sourceIndex": 0
  },
  "namedLocation": null,
  "publisherMedia": [],
  "archivePattern": null,
  "impactReports": [],
  "corroboration": "curated",
  "interceptionReported": {
   "evidenceState": "reported",
   "note": "Official aggregate claims, not independently verified kills. Parts are included only when explicitly sourced and sum to the reported total. Catalogue countermeasures are not incident evidence.",
   "counts": []
  },
  "referencePoint": null,
  "labels": {
   "category": "Military site",
   "droneStatus": "Reported",
   "impactStatus": "Not established",
   "attributionStatus": "Not established"
  },
  "url": "https://droneincidents.com/incident/earle-drone-reports-2024-12/",
  "citation": "DroneLedger, “Naval Weapons Station Earle reports unidentified drone incursions”, dossier earle-drone-reports-2024-12, revision 1, updated 2026-10-16. https://droneincidents.com/incident/earle-drone-reports-2024-12/",
  "history": [
   {
    "revision": 1,
    "date": "2026-10-16",
    "at": "2026-10-16T00:53:29.708+00:00",
    "note": "Curated dossier created after checking the cited sources line by line."
   }
  ]
 }
}