{
 "publisher": "DroneLedger",
 "site": "https://droneincidents.com",
 "generated": "2026-10-15T13:39:19+00:00",
 "release": "20261015T133920047378-25abed",
 "license": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "DroneLedger (droneincidents.com)",
  "excludes": "Quoted source passages and linked articles remain the copyright of their publishers; they are included as short quotations for verification. Linked media and satellite images remain the rights holders' property; no image or video licence is granted by this dataset. Fonts (SIL OFL) and map data (Natural Earth, public domain) keep their own terms. City and region names in automatically published dossiers are checked against GeoNames (geonames.org, CC BY 4.0). Drone drawings and animations are schematic illustrations of a type, not evidence about any incident."
 },
 "assessmentNote": "DroneLedger assessment, not a finding. Editorial likelihood bands, not calibrated statistical confidence intervals. Unknown has no numeric probability. Outcomes are attributed reports; no totals or inference of intent from a hit.",
 "assessmentScale": {
  "version": "di-estimative-v1",
  "levels": {
   "almost_certain": {
    "low": 95,
    "high": 99
   },
   "very_likely": {
    "low": 80,
    "high": 95
   },
   "likely": {
    "low": 55,
    "high": 80
   },
   "roughly_even_chance": {
    "low": 45,
    "high": 55
   },
   "unlikely": {
    "low": 20,
    "high": 45
   },
   "very_unlikely": {
    "low": 5,
    "high": 20
   },
   "almost_no_chance": {
    "low": 1,
    "high": 5
   },
   "unknown": {
    "low": null,
    "high": null
   }
  }
 },
 "evidenceNote": "Each dossier separates three claims: drone presence, impact and attribution, each with its own evidence state and supporting sources. 'reported' means a source describes the claim without sufficient identification evidence; claims by parties to a conflict are never 'confirmed' on their own. Counts reflect dossiers in this curated archive, not all incidents worldwide. windowStart/windowEnd are reporting-window calendar bounds, not individual event days; legacy date remains the compatibility/sorting date for such records.",
 "locationNote": "lat/lon are the dossier's own approximate coordinates (see locationPrecision) and are empty when the incident location is unknown. referencePoint {lat, lon, level, name} is a display reference only: a fixed point in the named city (GeoNames), region (its administrative seat), sea or country (Natural Earth label point), derived at build time. It is not a geolocation, not an estimate of the incident location and may change when the dossier's place becomes more precise: reference point; incident location unknown.",
 "detailsNote": "media, operationalEffects, followUp and archiveEntity are editorial, source-indexed additions. Media is publisher-link only, has its own evidence status and never establishes drone presence or attribution. Debunked original-media links are removed; archived revisions omit media references. archivePattern is computed from mapped published event records at generated time, not a worldwide incident count. Null asOf means not established; publication time is not substituted.",
 "dataset": {
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23345422",
  "note": "Citable weekly snapshot (CSV + JSON) archived on Zenodo; this DOI always resolves to the latest version."
 },
 "howToCite": "Cite the dossier URL and revision, e.g. DroneLedger, “Wine Trader hit off Romania; president says drones struck the ship”, dossier wine-trader-fire-off-romania-2026-10-15, revision 3, updated 2026-10-15. https://droneincidents.com/incident/wine-trader-fire-off-romania-2026-10-15/",
 "incident": {
  "id": "cape-dao-hormuz-2026-09-23",
  "title": "Cape Dao lost after September strike; drone involvement unclear",
  "place": "Strait of Hormuz approaches",
  "country": "Oman",
  "countryCode": "OM",
  "date": "2026-09-23",
  "dateKind": "event",
  "scope": "single",
  "category": "maritime",
  "droneStatus": "inconclusive",
  "impactStatus": "reported",
  "attributionStatus": "none",
  "lat": 26.5,
  "lon": 56.25,
  "locationPrecision": "region",
  "summary": "Cape Dao was struck on 23 September and later lost. Drone involvement remains unclear.",
  "impact": "One seafarer was reported killed in the September attack. The later sinking is not a new attack or a second casualty count.",
  "evidence": "Reuters relays IMO loss data and maritime sources; Maritime Executive relays Vanguard’s salvage assessment. The earlier report describes sinking, while the later report says sunk.",
  "unknown": "The precise sinking time and weapon remain unresolved. Attack date is distinct from the October loss report. No mine or drone identification is established for this ship.",
  "attribution": "Responsibility has not been established.",
  "sources": [
   {
    "label": "Reuters via gCaptain",
    "url": "https://gcaptain.com/bulk-carrier-sinks-weeks-after-deadly-strait-of-hormuz-strike/",
    "published": "2026-10-14",
    "family": "reuters",
    "publishedAt": "2026-10-14T10:22:39-07:00"
   },
   {
    "label": "The Maritime Executive",
    "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/iran-claims-containership-hit-mine-and-sank-in-strait-of-hormuz",
    "published": "2026-10-14",
    "family": "maritime-executive",
    "publishedAt": "2026-10-14T10:47:48-04:00"
   }
  ],
  "timeline": [
   {
    "date": "2026-09-23",
    "text": "Attack date; the fatality belongs to this event.",
    "source": 0
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-14",
    "text": "Sinking reported by this date after the earlier attack.",
    "source": 0
   }
  ],
  "droneStatusSources": [
   0,
   1
  ],
  "impactStatusSources": [
   0,
   1
  ],
  "attributionSources": [],
  "droneTypes": [],
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "cape-attack-date",
    "axis": "context",
    "statement": "The attack occurred on 23 September.",
    "quote": "struck by a projectile on September 23",
    "claimant": "Reuters maritime sources and IMO data",
    "originId": "cape-dao-maritime-2026-10-14",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "context",
    "note": "Attribution and original-source dependencies remain explicit; this quote does not establish drone involvement.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-15",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   },
   {
    "id": "cape-fatality",
    "axis": "impact",
    "statement": "One seafarer was reported killed.",
    "quote": "One crew member was killed",
    "claimant": "Reuters maritime sources",
    "originId": "cape-dao-maritime-2026-10-14",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "supports",
    "note": "Attribution and original-source dependencies remain explicit; this quote does not establish drone involvement.",
    "sourceIndex": 0,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-15",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   },
   {
    "id": "cape-initial-impact",
    "axis": "context",
    "statement": "The earlier strike occurred in September.",
    "quote": "was struck on September 23",
    "claimant": "Vanguard Tech via Maritime Executive",
    "originId": "vanguard-cape-2026-10-14",
    "relay": "relayed",
    "assessment": "context",
    "note": "Attribution and original-source dependencies remain explicit; this quote does not establish drone involvement.",
    "sourceIndex": 1,
    "quoteCheckedAt": "2026-10-15",
    "quoteTranslation": {}
   }
  ],
  "review": "editor",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-15",
  "autoCheckedAt": null,
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-15",
  "revision": 1,
  "series": [],
  "windowStart": null,
  "windowEnd": null,
  "windowBasis": null,
  "assessment": null,
  "outcome": [],
  "assessment_scale_version": null,
  "assessment_operator_subject": null,
  "assessment_operator_level": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_low": null,
  "assessment_operator_range_high": null,
  "assessment_target_subject": null,
  "assessment_target_level": null,
  "assessment_target_range_low": null,
  "assessment_target_range_high": null,
  "media": [],
  "operationalEffects": [],
  "followUp": [],
  "archiveEntity": null,
  "archivePattern": null,
  "impactReports": [],
  "corroboration": "curated",
  "interceptionReported": {
   "evidenceState": "reported",
   "note": "Official aggregate claims, not independently verified kills. Parts are included only when explicitly sourced and sum to the reported total. Catalogue countermeasures are not incident evidence.",
   "counts": []
  },
  "referencePoint": null,
  "labels": {
   "category": "Maritime attack",
   "droneStatus": "Inconclusive",
   "impactStatus": "Reported",
   "attributionStatus": "Not established"
  },
  "url": "https://droneincidents.com/incident/cape-dao-hormuz-2026-09-23/",
  "citation": "DroneLedger, “Cape Dao lost after September strike; drone involvement unclear”, dossier cape-dao-hormuz-2026-09-23, revision 1, updated 2026-10-15. https://droneincidents.com/incident/cape-dao-hormuz-2026-09-23/",
  "history": [
   {
    "revision": 1,
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "at": "2026-10-15T10:35:23.487+00:00",
    "note": "Curated dossier created after checking the cited sources line by line."
   }
  ]
 }
}